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Anticipating Change in Primary Education: A Qualitative Typology of Foresight-Oriented Leadership Among Taiwanese School Principals (107063)

Session Information: Teaching and Learning
Session Chair: YuehChun Huang

Monday, 11 May 2026 15:30
Session: Session 4
Room: Room G407 (4F)
Presentation Type: Oral Presentation

All presentation times are UTC + 9 (Asia/Tokyo)

In contemporary primary education, school principals are increasingly required to lead under conditions of uncertainty shaped by demographic change, technological advancement, and evolving societal expectations. This study explores how foresight-oriented leadership is understood and enacted by primary school principals in Taiwan, with particular attention to how leaders anticipate future challenges and translate foresight into strategic and organizational action. Adopting a qualitative research design, semi-structured interviews were conducted with four purposefully selected principals from diverse school contexts. Data were analyzed through thematic coding and cross-case comparison to identify patterns of foresight-oriented leadership.

The findings identify four distinct but non-hierarchical leadership patterns: Framers, who emphasize long-term visioning and strategic direction; Adapters, who demonstrate flexibility and responsiveness to emerging challenges; Testers, who actively experiment with innovative practices; and Reactors, who cautiously integrate change while maintaining institutional stability and traditions. Rather than relying on a single leadership approach, effective foresight-oriented leadership appears to emerge through a context-sensitive combination of these patterns.

The study concludes that foresight-oriented leadership should be understood as a developmental and situated capacity rather than a fixed trait. Based on these insights, several practical suggestions are offered. Leadership preparation and professional development programs should explicitly incorporate foresight-related competencies, including future scanning, strategic imagination, and adaptive decision-making. In addition, policy frameworks should provide principals with sufficient flexibility to support innovation while ensuring accountability. Finally, professional learning networks may facilitate collective sense-making and the sharing of foresight practices among school leaders.

Authors:
Rujer Wang, National Taichung University of Education, Taiwan


About the Presenter(s)
Professor Rujer Wang is a University Administration at National Taichung University of Education in Taiwan

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Posted by James Alexander Gordon

Last updated: 2023-02-23 23:45:00